The US Wants to Drive its Massive Debt in Stable Coins

“The US will solve its currency problems, just as they did in 1930s and 1970s at he expense of the whole World by driving everyone into cryptocurrency cloud. Then the US will devalue that debt and start from zero.”

Anton Kobyakov, a senior advisor to Vladimir Putin made a claim that US seeks to leverage its $35 trillion debt into cryptocurrencies and gold, and the devalue it and start from scratch. He made these remarks at the Eastern Economic Forum in Vladivostok. This way US intends to lower the distrust in US dollar.

Here is a more optimistic opinion. The stable coin companies hold part of their reserves in BTC and could be buying BTC in the future.

Run Knots!

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I have already written about running your own BTC node in the post titled “How to be a good Bitcoiner”. But recent developments require an addendum. Run not just any node but rather download and run Bitcoin Knots. Bitcoin Knots filters out spam and limits transactions to only monetary exchanges. Problem is that the dominant software provider for Bitcoin nodes, the Bitcoin Core plans to allow spam to go through their software. Unfortunately this could mean that child porn could be passed around the Bitcoin network. This could lead to governments trying to discredit Bitcoin.

By running Knots, you are making the relaying of spam much more expensive and therefore less feasible for malicious actors. At this moment, the adoption of Knots is somewhere around 30%. So we all should run Knots to prevent nefarious plans of forces that would like to use the network for something else than monetary transactions.

United States Strategic Bitcoin Reserve

Donald Trump lives up to his pre-election rhetoric…

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So, Trump wants to set up a US BTC reserve, and the initial capital will come from the BTC held by the Department of Treasury, which was seized by the US government from criminals. The US government will procure further BTC. Furthermore, a Digital Asset Stockpile will be set up where other confiscated cryptocurrencies will be held. As much as I understand it, the US government does not intend to procure any other cryptocurrency than BTC. I assume the other cryptocurrencies will be converted to BTC. This is what I have done with other crypto in my portfolio, the only wise thing to do if you are a HODLer.

In Czechia, the governor of the central bank also wanted a BTC reserve. His suggestion was being investigated the last time I checked. This was criticized by the European Central Bank though. Luckily, Czechia doesn’t have the Euro. IMF is also hostile to BTC as was recently seen in strings attached to a loan offered to El Salvador. Bad, evil people reveal themselves through opposition to BTC and Donald Trump.

Weighing Assets

This is not a financial advice but let me share my experience with different investment assets…

Rental property: Most of my income comes from various living spaces. Two long term rentals, and a short term airBNB. The two long term rentals are in a metropolitan area, where many come to study and work, whereas short term airBNB is in a rural area. Property is a good investment but all depends on the location and type.

The government is very concerned about housing. And this can be good and bad. On one hand, you are viewed as an evil exploitative landlord, and the government will punish you with taxes and rent controls, but the government also supports tenants that struggle to pay the rent. This means that you will get money even in the darkest times like the Covid lockdown.

The Covid lockdowns have put a lot of people on home office, and many companies realized this is more profitable than maintaining an office in the downtown. Also home office workers take fewer sick days. They don’t care about that sneeze or cough, and will do some work. Naturally office space is struggling, commercial real estate is not experiencing its best days with all the online sales.

Real estate’s profitability is dependent on market forces. My airBNB is very seasonal, summer months bring the most revenue and winter months are rather poor. People come here for cycling and sightseeing. I opened the thing after Covid, Covid would have been shit. Governments are not keen on these short term rentals, I have to have a business licence and pay the municipality. Big cities might have even more regulations. But you can collect many times more money than from long term rentals.

I have mostly experience with residential. There are also things like agricultural land. Not all land is created equal, and the yields might vary. Real estate is a pretty stable form of income but it is prone to third party risk and cannot be moved to another jurisdiction. Population collapse, the die off of boomers, AI driven construction could cheapen properties, and this makes it an unstable storer of value. Inheritance tax is another thing that makes it impossible to build wealth over generations with property. Finally, selling a property might take months, it is highly illiquid.

Stocks: I was trying many jobs and for a time I was a financial advisor, that is a haughty title for a financial instrument peddler. I did not succeed but at least I learned about index funds, and later I learned on my own about ETFs, and I invest in both. I don’t know where this will take me. I want to have several millions of CZK worth of stocks. Stocks are very dependent on markets, they are prone to booms and busts. So when times are good, your portfolio grows, and when they suck, it falls.

Bonds: I keep very little money in bonds. In fact I have this index fund linked to this financial instrument that “invests spare change”. The fund is formed of mostly CZK denominated bonds and the yield is 6-8%. People consider government bonds to be a safe investment, after all the government prints the money. But safe does not mean profitable, the riskier the shit the greater the dividend usually. The dodgier the government, the higher the interest rate.

BTC: Around 2019, I watched this Czech YouTuber that explained Bitcoin. And I invested £100 into it. I am a messy person and lost my hardware wallet. But few years later I found it, and my investment of £100 was now £500. I decided this year to invest regularly into BTC. BTC has a fixed supply, and seems like a good storer of value. Some people say it is going to the moon. Some are afraid that it is prone to hacking with the help of AI. I don’t have the knowledge to judge any of these claims. I put money that I do not immediately need into it and let the fate work its way.

I am a BTC maximalist, all other cryptocurrencies are shit coins, so if you want to invest in whatever, only BTC. BTC does not have a known founder, nobody has ever seen Satoshi Nakamoto; everybody has seen Vitalik Buterin. The BTC protocol is fixed, nobody can temper with it. The supply is fixed, unlike with ETH or whatever other cryptocurrency. Besides, there is no need for another cryptocurrency.

Another thing is liquidity. This is the most liquid asset out there in my opinion. It is traded all the time. Stocks depend on the exchanges they are traded at, gold also needs to be sold to buyers in person. You can cash in your BTC in an instant. Also BTC can be used as payment method, and it can be used as collateral for fiat loans. There are also credit cards that facilitate payments using BTC, and other cryptocurrencies.

Gold: In my opinion gold is the only precious metal worth investing into. Gold is scarce, and it does not rust. Silver depreciates under the elements, and is much more abundant. Unlike silver, the government does not tax gold purchases here in Czechia. Gold has an inflation rate of 2% annually (in 1941 it was 4%, wonder why). And I am fearing that at one point, somebody might find an asteroid full of gold and knock the price down. Maybe at that point I would buy some gold bars. But I missed my chance and now gold is at all time high.

Because gold is tangible some think it is better than BTC. But its tangibility is a liability. My house got broken into once, and while I have a safe box downstairs deep in the basement to store things like that, I am still not very satisfied. The liquidity of gold is dependent on a service of gold vendors that would send a van and pick up your bars, otherwise you have to drive yourself to a vendor or exchange. If you are an institution, with facilities to store your treasure, go ahead but I am a small time retail investor. You can also keep your gold with a third party custodian, much like I do with stocks. Again, this is about a service, and what suits you. But they take a commission. 

Ultimately, I invest in whatever I imagine is good at the moment, and I invest whatever money I imagine I can invest. I walk through this life and create different streams of income because my ass is Jupiter-Uranus conjunction in the second. And my opinion on them shifts all the time as my knowledge increases…

HODL yer Bitcoins

Guys, hold on to your Bitcoins and invest your money in it…

Although I beg for BTC above, I would suggest people hold on to their Bitcoins for the time being. I personally tried it. Put 100 quid into bitcoin and put it all on my Trezor wallet that I bought in a sale. This was several years ago, and then I lost the wallet. Recently I found it and my investment has grown 4 times. I decided to invest into it regularly because it seems like it is worth it.

Many bullish predictions of Bitcoin growth…

Bitcoin is drawing the attention of entire governments like that of Bhutan, and investment funds like BlackRock. My meagre investment will in the future grow tremendously. And that’s why you too should adopt the Bitcoin so we can grow together…