So a week is remaining to Trump’s secondary tariffs on countries that buy Russian energy resources. This is supposed to put pressure on Russia to stop its advance in Ukraine. But Russian supplies of oil and gas over land are ensuring China’s energy security.
Indians might cave in to Trump’s threats. The question is if this will force Russia to negotiate a peace treaty to the detriment of their goals or they could continue on and bear the expense of the war?
Insomniac Resurrected 
The US has been playing this game, even before 2022. No-one is particularly impressed nor appreciates open blackmail.
They’ll evade or defy it simply to avoid setting a precedent that the Americans would exploit on whim. Plus the US outside it’s vassals in Europe is getting weaker and other world players have ambitions, that don’t involve giving D.C a veto on anything.
I’d say the Russians truly committed come what may in late 2022, with the partial mobilisation and shift to an attrition/long war posture.
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Meanwhile Japan keeps looking for the way to get Russian energy.
The thing is if India caves they will lose the swing they had last few years.
And then expect Modi coming to Prague asking for Cz to let 2 millions Indians in. Hashtag diversity, hashtag someone needs to earn pensions.
Anyways I think they will keep buying, but the main issue is that Ural isn’t that cheap anymore. Probably more smaller countries also started to buy in meantime.
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